Center Street PAC released a new poll of the Colorado-03 congressional race, showing Republican Congresswoman Lauren Boebert in a statistical tie with Democratic challenger Adam Frisch. The survey revealed 45% of Colorado registered voters prefer Frisch while 40% prefer Boebert. However, a victory will be challenging for Frisch, as he continues to struggle in voter awareness, with only 64% of voters saying they know who he is, compared to Boebert’s 89%. Due to a small sample, likely voters were not reported in this survey.
“This race presents a rare opportunity to get this deeply unserious candidate out of office. This district is only R+7, and Boebert only won by 6 points in 2020,” said Center Street Co-Founder Matt O’Brien. “But it will be a challenge at this point. This is an all-hands-on-deck moment for anyone who has watched in disbelief over the last two years, as this supremely unqualified and disgraceful person found new depths to plumb.”
One challenge for Frisch is a lack of enthusiastic support, largely because voters are unaware of him. Data shows 49% of respondents have neither a favorable nor unfavorable view. Only 20% of voters say they are neutral toward Boebert. His preference results seem to be more of a referendum on Boebert’s popularity, rather than strong support for Frisch. However, respondents who are aware of the former Aspen city councilman generally hold favorable views of him, while Boebert elicits largely unfavorable views.
“At this late stage of the campaign, lagging in awareness is hard to overcome. But the good news for Frisch is that the voters who know him are generally positive, and he still has nearly a month to improve on his awareness and favorability,” said Center Street Chief Analytics Officer Dr. Kurt Jetta.
As with the other so-called “ultra MAGA” candidates Center Street has polled, Boebert unsurprisingly scores low in favorability among Democrats and independents. Overall, 54% of voters view Boebert unfavorably, compared to Frisch’s 23%. However, unlike those candidates – J.D. Vance, Blake Masters, Dr. Mehmet Oz and Herschel Walker – Boebert’s favorability and preference results among Republicans is strong.
“This race is winnable, but only if Frisch moves very quickly to get his name ID up to least 80%
from its current 64%,” said Center Street Co-Founder Jacob Perry. “It is almost impossible for a congressional candidate with low name recognition to beat an incumbent with such a solid base of supporters.”
Center Street has developed an unparalleled data set, led by Dr. Jetta. A 30-year innovator in consumer analytics and former CEO of TABS Analytics, Dr. Jetta applies his consumer analysis developments to political analysis, allowing Center Street to determine and choose a select number of winnable races.
Center Street is a nonpartisan super PAC designed to combat the destructive tribalism threatening democracy by supporting credible candidates, regardless of political party, against extremist challengers and incumbents. Founded by former Republican strategist Jacob Perry and private businessman Matt O’Brien, Center Street advocates for the election of candidates who demonstrate stable and effective governing policies.
Methodology: The CO-03 survey was conducted among 945 Colorado adults, ages 18+, including 144 CO-03 registered voters. Due to small sample size, preference results were not reported for likely voters. Of the respondents, 173 lived in CO-03 counties and accounted for 18.3% of the sample. Responses were weighted to Colorado age/gender profile and then weighted to 2020 voting preference for both CO-03 (53% Trump/44% Biden) and non-CO-03 (40%/57%). All Colorado respondents were asked to state a preference for CO-03 candidates, whether they lived in the district or not. To enhance statistical validity, results for CO-03 were compared to non-CO-03. This method was used to measure meaningful differences in candidate awareness, favorability and preferences within a party. The margin of error at the 80% confidence level for preference among registered voters is 5.2%. Source: Source: Center Street PAC via Momentiv AI.
About Center Street PAC
Center Street (www.centerstreetpac.com) is a nonpartisan political action committee designed to combat the destructive tribalism that threatens our democracy. Center Street is focused on beating the extremist incumbents and challengers who divide us by supporting rational political candidates who promote stable and effective governing policies. Center Street’s candidates are Democrats & Republicans who have shown political courage and a willingness to put the country above a party’s interests.