POLL: FL-07 GOP Primary is Wide Open, but Mills Could Be the Favorite

ORLANDO, Fla. – (July 15, 2022) – The race for Florida’s 7th Congressional District (FL-07) Republican nomination is wide open, according to a new poll from Center Street PAC (www.centerstreetpac.com), a nonpartisan political action committee. However, the survey of Florida voters shows Cory Mills might be the favorite in a crowded field that includes controversial Florida legislator Anthony Sabatini and former Congressman John Mica’s chief of staff, Russell “Rusty” Roberts.

Mills, who like Sabatini has embraced the radical far-right “America First” movement, leads with 17% among FL-07 Republicans. Rusty Roberts follows with 9%, leading Sabatini, Erika Benfield, Brady Duke, Al Santos and Scott Sturgill. A whopping 51% of FL-07 Republican voters say they are undecided.

Between 3/4/22 and 7/9/22, 58 Republican adults 18+ registered in FL-07 were surveyed. Weighted to Age/Gender of U.S. Census and then FL state voter registration. Source: Center Street PAC via Momentiv AI
Between 3/4/22 and 7/9/22, 311 Republican adults 18+ were surveyed. Weighted to Age/Gender of U.S. Census and then FL state voter registration. Volusia and Seminole County Voters compared to surrounding counties.
Source: Center Street PAC via Momentiv AI

Awareness of the candidates and engagement in the race was low across the board, with Mills (55%) and Sabatini (51%) being the most recognized of the field among FL-07 voters. However, despite slightly above average Awareness, Sabatini’s Favorability among Florida Republicans is low. Meanwhile, with 38% Awareness scores, Roberts seems to be second only to Mills in his ability to convert name recognition to Preference.

“If you’re familiar with Florida politics, it’s not exactly a shock that those who are aware of Sabatini don’t like him. On the other hand, Rusty Roberts seems able to translate awareness into support. That’s intriguing for political donors,” says Center Street Co-Founder Jacob Perry.

Between 3/4/22 and 7/9/22, 311 Republican adults 18+ were surveyed. Weighted to Age/Gender of U.S. Census and then FL state voter registration. Volusia and Seminole County Voters compared to surrounding counties. Source: Center Street PAC via Momentiv AI
Between 3/4/22 and 7/9/22, 846 adults 18+ Weighted to Age/Gender of U.S. Census and then FL state voter registration. Volusia and Seminole County Voters compared to surrounding counties. Source: Center Street PAC via Momentiv AI

Center Street has developed an unparalleled data set, led by Dr. Jetta. A 30-year innovator in consumer analytics and former CEO of TABS Analytics, Dr. Jetta applies his consumer analysis developments to political analysis, allowing Center Street to determine and choose a select number of winnable races.

Center Street is a nonpartisan super PAC designed to combat the destructive tribalism threatening democracy by supporting credible candidates, regardless of political party, against extremist challengers and incumbents. Founded by former Republican strategist Jacob Perry and private businessman Matt O’Brien, Center Street advocates for the election of candidates who demonstrate stable and effective governing policies.